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Tropical Cyclone/ Hurricane Forecasting |
Model Track and Intensity Guidance
NEW ADDITIONS:
Model trends for the global, consensus, and official forecasts have been added showing forecast track histories up to 48 hours prior to the most current synoptic time.
Track and intensity mean absolute errors and biases have been added. Be cautious of small sample sizes giving unrepresentative errors, especially at long lead times!
Trends and Verification graphics are in their testing phases. Error checking as time permits, so use graphics with caution.
W Pacific, Indian, and S Hemisphere tropical cyclone graphics (italicized storms) are restricted to MIT.
Please do not hotlink or redistribute these figures, i.e. link to this page directly if you would like to share. Thanks!
To access the graphics, choose from the list of active storms in the left frame (if there isn't a left frame, click here to load the full page), and then click on the hurricane symbols
in the table below to access track and intensity guidance at 00Z, 06Z, 12Z, and 18Z. Guidance is usually available a few hours after the model initialization time.
Remember to always look at the title of the figure to double check the tropical cyclone designation and guidance time!
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If you discover
anything wrong with the figures, dead links, or have any feedback/questions,
please contact Brian Tang at
.
Data courtesy the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecasting System.
