Fifth Northeast Tropical Workshop
May 17th
19th, 2011
Dedham, Massachusetts
Workshop Program
(Click here for .pdf file of program)
Monday,
May 16th
Afternoon: Check-in
6:00: Reception, Gun
Room
7:00: Dinner, Dining
Room
Tuesday,
May 17th
7:15 8:15: Breakfast, Dining Room
1. General circulation of the Tropics Lance Bosart, Session Chair
8:30 10:00: Presentations
Tropical circulation driven by a weak SST gradient Zhiming Kuang
Cloud
system-resolving simulations and a simple model of an idealized Walker cell Jonathan Wofsy and Zhiming Kuang
A
subtropical cyclonic gyre of midlatitude origin John Molinari and David Vollaro
The
tropospheric response to tropical and subtropical zonally-asymmetric torques William Boos and
Tiffany Shaw
Interannual
variability of monsoon precipitation and sub-cloud entropy John Hurley and William Boos
10:00 10:30: Break
10:30 11:30: Discussion of the
general circulation of the Tropics
12:00 1:30: Lunch, Endicott Terrace
2. The Madden-Julian Oscillation and equatorial waves John Molinari, Session Chair
1:30 2:45: Presentations
An
idealized semi-empirical framework for modeling the Madden-Julian oscillation Adam Sobel and Eric Maloney
A
mechanism denial study on the Madden-Julian Oscillation Daehyun Kim,
Adam Sobel, and In-Sik Kang
Paul Roundy and Lawrence Gloecker
Kyle MacRitchie and Paul Roundy
2:45
3:15: Break
The
Madden-Julian Oscillation and equatorial waves continued
3:15
4:45 Presentations
Kinetic energy budget
for the Madden-Julian oscillation in a multi-scale framework Lei Zhou and Adam Sobel
Moist
static energy budget of MJO-like disturbances in the atmosphere of a zonally
symmetric aquaplanet Joseph Anderson and
Zhiming Kuang
Kelvin
wave interaction with the diurnal cycle of precipitation at the West African
coast Alan Brammer
The
role of convectively-coupled Kelvin waves on tropical cyclogenesis over the
tropical Atlantic Michael Ventrice and
Chris Thorncroft
The
structural evolution of African easterly waves Matthew Janiga
4:45 5:45:
Discussion of the MJO and equatorial waves
6:00: Reception, Gun Room
7:00: Dinner, Dining Room
Wednesday, May 18th
7:15 8:15: Breakfast, Dining Room
3. Tropical cyclones Adam Sobel, Session Chair
8:30 10:00:
Presentations
Flow-dependent
predictability of tropical cyclones Fuqing Zhang, Yonghui Weng, Xuyang
Ge, Erin Munsell, and Dandan
Tao
A WRF
simulation of the asymmetric rapid intensification of Tropical Storm Gabrielle
(2001) Diana Thomas and John Molinari
Self‐stratification
of tropical cyclone outflow: Implications for storm structure and intensity Kerry Emanuel and
Richard Rotunno
Dry
Air in the Tropical Cyclone Environment Jason Dunion
The
rapid intensification of Hurricane Irene (1999)
Leon Nguyen
10:00 10:30: Break
10:30 11:30: Discussion of tropical cyclones
12:00 1:30: Lunch, Endicott Terrace
4. Tropical cyclones and climate Zhiming
Kuang, Session Chair
1:30 2:45: Presentations
Tropical
cyclogenesis index: an application to climate change Suzana Camargo,
Michael Tippett, Adam
Sobel, Gabriel Vecchi, and Ming Zhao
Recurving
TC-jet stream interactions over the western North Pacific: Part 1 - A
climatology and composite analysis Heather Archambault, Jason Cordeira, Lance Bosart, and
Daniel Keyser
Recurving
TC-jet stream interactions over the western North Pacific: Part 2 - Case
studies and the influence on the general circulation Jason Cordeira, Lance Bosart,
and Daniel Keyser
Mechanisms by which
aerosols may affect tropical cyclone frequency and intensity Amato Evan
2:45
3:15: Break
Tropical
cyclones and climate continued
3:15 4:45: Presentations
Tropical
cyclone return periods: comparison of a stochastic track model with an extreme value
analysis of historic data Jan
Klein and Timothy Hall
A
statistical model of tropical cyclone tracks in the Western North Pacific with
ENSO-dependent cyclogenesis Emmi Yonekura and Timothy Hall
Simulation
of tropical cyclones over the 1880-2007 period Using a
100km global atmospheric general circulation model Gabriel Vecchi, Ming Zhao, and Isaac Held
TC-permitting
GCM simulations of hurricane frequency response to sea surface temperature anomalies
projected for the late 21st century Ming Zhao and Isaac Held
2300
years of tropical cyclone rainfall and cave flooding events in Yucatαn,
Mexico recorded by a muddy calcite stalagmite Amy Frappier
4:45-5:45: Discussion of tropical cyclones and climate
6:00: Reception, Gun Room
7:00: Dinner, Dining Room
Thursday,
May 19th
7:00 8:00: Breakfast, Dining Room
5.
Extratropical transition of TCs, tropical convection, and precipitation Kerry
Emanuel, Session Chair
8:00 9:30:
Presentations
Extratropical
transition in the Southwest Indian Ocean Kyle Griffin and Lance Bosart
An
analysis of multiple predecessor rain events ahead of tropical cyclones Ike and
Lowell: 10-15 September 2008
Lance Bosart, Jason Cordeira, Thomas Galarneau, Jr., Benjamin Moore, and Heather Archambault
A
closer look at the climatology of tropical precipitation Michela Biasutti, Sandra Yuter, Casey Burleyson, and Adam Sobel
Regression
analyses of Mouniers quasi bi-weekly zonal dipole
mode
Jeffry Cerrato and Chris Thorncroft
9:30 10:00: Break
5.
Extratropical transition of TCs, tropical convection, and precipitation
(continued)
10:00
11:30: Presentations
Understanding
the response of shallow convection to perturbations using LES and a stochastic
parcel model Ji Nie and Zhiming Kuang
Response of
tropical precipitation extremes to ENSO and climate change
Paul OGorman
The mean
air flow as Lagrangian dynamics approximation and the thermodynamic analysis of
convective systems Olivier
Pauluis
Responses
of tropical convection to relative SST and imposed drying in a cloud resolving
model Shuguang Wang
and Adam Sobel
11:30 12:30:
Discussion of Extratropical transition of TCs, tropical convection, and
precipitation
12:30: Lunch, Dining Room
Workshop ends